Midterm Election Year Alert: 40% Chance of 20%+ Stock Market Crash, History Shows

In this critical 15-minute analysis, the latest from 美股研究社 delivers a stark warning based on historical cycles. The video reveals that midterm election years have historically been a minefield for investors, with a 40% probability of a market crash exceeding 20%—far above the average for all years. The analysis points to Friday's 'Quadruple Witching' session as a potential confirmation of a new bearish direction, citing a key technical breakdown and a concerning '5% pullback rule' that has preceded past bear markets. While long-term opportunities in AI infrastructure and war-beneficiary sectors like agriculture are highlighted, the core message is one of extreme caution for the first half of the year, with the host's personal goal being to simply 'lose less than 10%.' The full report details the precise historical data, the critical internal political risks flagged as the real danger, and specific volatility-based trading rules for navigating the turmoil...